AABP EP Awards 728x90

Sell Microsoft, buy this undervalued energy firm

/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/BR_web_311x311.jpeg

Dear Mr. Berko:

I bought 200 shares of Enterprise Products at $19 in late 2002. I have a good profit, and the dividend has almost tripled. Should I continue to hold the stock, which is now $31.75? My next question is about Duncan Energy, which was spun off by Enterprise last year; it’s now $26 a share but doesn’t pay a dividend. What do you think of this stock? Do you think it will pay a dividend? I’d like to own 200 shares. I can get the money by selling my Enterprise Products shares or by selling 200 shares of Microsoft.

M.W., Oklahoma City


Dear M.W.:

Even though it doesn’t pay a dividend yet (probably this fall) my decision to recommend Duncan Energy Partners L.P. (DEP-$25.41) is a piece of cake. Duncan, spun off from Enterprise Products Partners L.P. (EPD-$31.75) in September and listed on the Big Board in January, may be one of the most undervalued master limited partnerships overlooked by the Wall Street Turks and the investing public.

Duncan owns an attractive portfolio of midstream energy assets. The company gathers, transports, sells and stores natural gas liquids as well as petrochemicals. An analyst at Merrill Lynch believes that DEP’s trailing 12-month revenues of $1.1 billion will produce earnings of $2.38 per share and cash flow of $3.40. That’s a very conservative price-earnings ratio of just under 11, and that bakes my cake. But the frosting, according to my Merrill man, is that DEP trades about six points below its $32.41 book value. And holy of holies, DEP has no long-term debt – yet!

Like most start-up energy MLPs, DEP will need a few years of operations to gain traction. Certainly revenues will be significantly more than $1.1 billion. Like most start-up MLPs, DEP’s initial dividend may be followed by successively higher earnings and dividends as operations gain momentum. A good portion of its dividend will be considered return of capital and not taxable. So if DEP minds its p’s and q’s, today’s $26 market price could move higher as management puts its company in gear.

So without question I’d buy 200 shares of DEP. Its key ratios are significantly below industry averages. As DEP matures, those ratios could move a lot higher. Sell Microsoft!

Enterprise Products, with $14 billion in revenues, operates in four distinct business segments: natural gas pipelines and services; offshore natural gas pipelines and services; offshore pipelines and services; and petrochemical services. EPD builds pipelines and midstream energy infrastructure in the United States and the Gulf of Mexico, providing these critical services to producers and consumers of natural gas, natural gas liquids, crude oil and various petrochemicals. Last year, EPD formed DEP to acquire, own and operate a portfolio of 66 percent of the company’s midstream energy infrastructure.

EPD has a footprint in just about every nook and cranny of the oil and natural gas supply chains, from production platforms and gathering pipelines, to gas processing, separation and distribution. Revenues have increased at an average annual rate of 12.5 percent over the last five years. The 2007 dividend is projected to improve to $1.95 from $1.80. Similar gains are expected for 2008.

EPD expects to expand its energy assets in Texas as well as in the Rocky Mountain region, and natural gas is expected to begin flowing at its Gulf of Mexico facility by this summer.

EPD is a mature, low- to moderate-risk investment that should provide you with dependable dividend growth and modest capital appreciation in the coming three to five years. I feel it can continue to be a good companion to your portfolio. Sell Microsoft.

Please address your financial questions  to Malcolm Berko, P.O. Box  1416, Boca Raton, Fla. 33429 or  e-mail him at malber@adelphia.net.  © Copley News Service

oakridge web 040125 300x250